2012年3月19日星期一

Russia's 20 years samsara

20 years ago, the cold Christmas day, December 25, 1991 late, gorbachev resigned as Soviet President, kerry's LinShangKong sickle hammer flag slowly down immediately, instead of the Russian federation on behalf of three color flag...... 70 years of Soviet history with the final period. Twenty years later, the same is a cold of Christmas, December 25, 2011, tens of thousands of people gathered in central Moscow Russia, protest on December 4 of the parliamentary fraud, demanding authorities announced immediately cancel to united Russia party's results, held at the election. On the same day, st. Petersburg, also by opposition leaders broke out against Mr Putin * * * * * *. In fact, since the election since the duma, similar * * * and protest has multiple bursts, though medvedev and putin has repeatedly promised political reforms. For a long time now, Moscow street scene really is feeling the vagaries of history.cheap new era hats Especially when you see 20 years ago by the people common danger causes common action overthrow the communist party who go in fervid * * * team, see the last Soviet leader mikhail gorbachev party and country now stands in the crowd decission possible step down immediately when putin requirements, you couldn't help will have some illusory and even the absurd feeling. In the last 20 years, Russia what happened some??????? Now about can simple summary. Still looks now, we have to admit that, according to western President Boris yeltsin's advice and design make of "shock therapy"-its core is rapid privatization of state-owned capital-not only to bring the Russia after democratization reformers of the free competition of the market commitment system and the consequent economic prosperity, on the contrary, it makes a by the economic elite and political dignitaries as their agents closely collusion oligarchs system, and in a very short time will be highly egalitarian Soviet transformed into the world of one of the largest gap between rich and poor countries. At the same time, political democratization and no duly automatically carry out constitutional, will originally highly centralized Soviet successful transformation into a modern country under the rule of law, instead, lifted the central planning and higher command of the constraints of the Russian bureaucracy system, the low of the bureaucracy and corruption than even before the Soviet union. Here a little CheYuan way a bit, and I personally think, eastern Europe, some other former Soviet bloc in the communist country-especially in Poland, the Czech republic and Hungary-also adopted with yeltsin nearly the same "shock therapy", but in general, they ought to saying is successful, or at least not say that failure. The root of here and it is these countries, geographically, or its social economic structure and national religious culture traditional much closer to the west. Moreover, they are mostly since the second world war is the red army in the Soviet union "the circle" within the iron curtain, the full implementation of the planned economy and the history of the totalitarian politics than the Soviet union short, and the government's control of society is also the Soviet union are weak. For them, the need is "recovery" is how much of the original once existed market economy and democratic constitutional government, despite its base is not strong, the countries of the situation is different; And for the Soviet union, it need to complete the mission of the construction is a new system and a completely different society. Face the constitution entirely different patients, the curative effect of "shock therapy" and its consequences of course also completely different. It is in this context, as yeltsin's successor, vladimir putin to strong stance tutored dullards he through strengthening centralized, and some cater to blow plutocrats oligarchs populist requirements of the gift quickly has won numerous Russia people favor. Particularly lucky is, in Mr Putin's ruling in a few years, the international oil prices rising unilateral, this economy is highly dependent on the energy for the export of Russia's accumulated the massive foreign exchange and financial income, and indeed on certain level to improve the overall living standards of the Russian people, which objectively for Mr Putin also internal please people, foreign remodeling powerhouse policy provides an important material base. In addition, Mr Putin is also a good actor, he often use all kinds of opportunities in the media on the side of the display looks hale; And he western shoot from the lip is fit to comment on which hero and leaders of the Slavic nation in the totalitarian era of subtle psychological needs. However, from a great extent look, Mr Putin do most efforts to push Russia not only have no economic marketization and the political democratization and legalization, it is to strengthen the (even restoration) from the tsar Russian has continued to the Soviet union the powerful and the power of the political tradition, this is the development direction of modern politics and run, although he may meet the Russian people after the break-up of the Soviet union has been difficult to return to the star of the superpower's proud heart. And, Mr Putin praised China's most general media of the so-called oligarchs fight economic, in the final analysis, use of is all the traditional that set of trickery, also far can't do everything, and impartial in accordance with the law, fundamentally look and modern law vary widely. Therefore, in recent years, Russia officialdom corruption, nepotism, earmarking, Russia economic monopoly, Russia of social wealth polarization not only not the slightest improved, but growing. In a sense, Mr Putin set of political practice, is actually not the Soviet Bolshevism.NHL Hats These are now the unprecedented "Russian winter of" the social basis of the protest movement, of course, it also really was the external world from "Arab spring" to "capture on Wall Street," and so on a series of movement of the powerful incentive. According to his own understanding of the history and culture of Russia, I don't think at the moment the protests will be fundamentally change the Russian, as my friends-brigade and critics ceramic short room place called: Moscow victory on the square of the protesters want, is nothing but a no Mr Putin's Mr Putin political.To be honest, I don't even think it could shake Mr Putin's next President throne, or, at best, is for Mr Putin to the throne in on the path of set up some obstacles. Russia's 20 years cycle proved once again a simple truth, democracy, not overthrow a unpopular dictatorship of the government, the common people vote each slipped automatically accomplished; Market economy, also not the state-owned property simply through a paper to all the national average privatisation bonds can automatic implementation. On extreme conceit and lack of consciousness of rules and was the Russian national speaking, if they are determined to want to write a better tomorrow, so they have to say goodbye to stir up the vodka group passion and impulse. They should know, really able to save Russia, only contract and the rule of law, and they are built on a thick and diverse "civil society" as the basis.

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