2012年3月8日星期四

New help city will bring greater hazard

Contemporary Chinese appear a new save the city, that is a kind of indirect concealment type to save the day. This concealment type save city, in the property market performance for the household registration system one-way release, in the stock market performance guo type save city, in a normal market, is well for the central bank "healthy" under the name of monetary loose again. We shall call "the new help city", to distinguish them from directly before, definitely, stir fry floor and crazy to print money type old methods to save the day. But sensible people will see, this new help city is actually in the beaten track to in disguised form, namely to inflation at the expense of the economic path was less puffed up. New help city not only cannot effect a radical cure suicide-bombs some deadly problem exists, it is the old problem in the deposit and no matter continued structural imbalance, inflation, and the national two yuan, the actual performance of the socialist and socialist road of the center ", so,best sunglasses from this and will give the Chinese future economy more hidden trouble. Below we subdivision discussion. Housing policy, the most obvious is the household registration system one-way release. Property market adjustment and control policies, insist on more than a year, can say is produced results. But in the interests of big Banks and other touch to capitalist group and bureaucratic financial, policy began to appear on the small change the direction of the wind. Some place to start reverse molesting the central in the housing market control policy, directly or in disguised form in a way to save the city, the purpose of this approach has two, one is the place of land directly save income than high financial difficulties, and the second is to test the central determination and number. The bank also add capitalists "* * *" ranks, directly on the first suite loan interest rate dial the high laid a hand on him, from source to curb property, to DaoBi policy to relax gangster. Is this the two armies battle, in a tie, the central issued the household registration system reform to the compromise, it announced that the interest group a good beginning. The household registration system reform, appears to be let into the city farmers "enjoy" citizens treatment, but its essence is the real estate interests in the background of the game, to increase the city vacancy building dish effective accumulated to buy power of a decision, in the central not compromise on the market of under the premise of adjustment and control policies for the local property market in disguised form to provide a panting and the chances of survival, and ultimately, the exploitation and financial risk shifting to the "new peasants". The reason is simple, the household registration system reform on the surface to the household registration system is the "free let go", but is essentially one-way let go of that can flow to the cities, while city residents can't flow to the rural namely can't rural home ownership, buy the rural land or even "small property" room. The stock market is fresh strange. The incoming chairman guo a change of the President before the ruling way, after taking office basic do two things: one is to promote the new funds, actively develop effective stock fund entering the market, such as pension, etc.; 2 it is advocating investment blue chip, advocating long term investing in the stock market. In other words, one is the change is choose a second, in the final analysis, is doing one thing, and that is "to fry." So some comments directly reduce "guo type help city", is not without reason. The starting point of this effort is good, save people in the heart of the fire and water really respectable, but as the leader, first to understand a problem is: the crux of the Chinese stock market where on earth? Is the A share market at present sent money? Or people won't choose A? The answer must be negative, both is not. The key to the problem in the system! If the system is not reform, then won't get rid of policy city and the city of encircling money fundamental lesions; If just moved to fry the share price as reinforcements thought is the "achievement", then history has shown, will fall off more heavy. The prime minister's adult from 1600 to 3500 fry stock market, the result is again how? Last year's stock market told us the answer. A sound of the stock market, the rule of law, in the long run is not fry up by policy, but a legal, fair and impartial "trading places", just a under the rule of the trading platform, not countries the casino dealer. If this is not known, so all efforts is PiFuHanShu, eventually change "traps city" of destiny! The policy the higher stock market speculation, then the more the pit the worst, either 6124 or 3478, all already proved it. And in this big "steady growth" type of mild help city background, the central bank to play a clown. Over the past few years to print money lead to the crazy inflation, prices soaring, people's living a difficult life, social stability and frequent events. Now, in inflation has not been effective control, prices are still not just a high market and preliminary achievements, the central bank mild expanding the monetary incremental again,nfl hats this is without a doubt one of the earlier policy efforts to "go back", as well as of the Chinese economy and society future a irresponsible. Moderate timely "adjustment" monetary policy is a can, are necessary, but a little basic factor don't forget: as long as the economy of China economic structure can not get fundamental change, with high energy consumption and high pollution high exploitation at the expense of the export economy does not have management, real estate, finance for land to the mark of the mode of economic development, not completely change, with rising prices, asset price bubbles and the people's livelihood difficulties at the expense of the inflation without effective, so the future of China is a "dream", a full of the uncertainty of dangerous journey. Simply mixing achievement is a few years can be, but to JiangShanYong solid, the political learned person and, without a top layer of the long-term design is certainly doesn't work. Spoken parts in an opera is to have "country forward strategy", but not the west a revitalization east a development, more is not removed the east wall is western wall. So save the city, although have a effect, but the old at the source of the trouble is still not cure except, and will for the left after the ruling new hidden trouble. Lao tze cloud, "ruling a great cook as little fresh". State policy not rolled about, foaming at the short-term commitment, and be in people for this, "to the way the world order". So, with inflation in the cost of the road of economy was less puffed up, what is our state "tao"?

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