New help city will bring greater hazard

Contemporary Chinese appear a new save the city, that is a kind of indirect concealment type to save the day. This concealment type save city, in the property market performance for the household registration system one-way release, in the stock market performance guo type save city, in a normal market, is well for the central bank "healthy" under the name of monetary loose again. We shall call "the new help city", to distinguish them from directly before, definitely, stir fry floor and crazy to print money type old methods to save the day. But sensible people will see, this new help city is actually in the beaten track to in disguised form, namely to inflation at the expense of the economic path was less puffed up. New help city not only cannot effect a radical cure suicide-bombs some deadly problem exists, it is the old problem in the deposit and no matter continued structural imbalance, inflation, and the national two yuan, the actual performance of the socialist and socialist road of the center ", so,best sunglasses from this and will give the Chinese future economy more hidden trouble. Below we subdivision discussion. Housing policy, the most obvious is the household registration system one-way release. Property market adjustment and control policies, insist on more than a year, can say is produced results. But in the interests of big Banks and other touch to capitalist group and bureaucratic financial, policy began to appear on the small change the direction of the wind. Some place to start reverse molesting the central in the housing market control policy, directly or in disguised form in a way to save the city, the purpose of this approach has two, one is the place of land directly save income than high financial difficulties, and the second is to test the central determination and number. The bank also add capitalists "* * *" ranks, directly on the first suite loan interest rate dial the high laid a hand on him, from source to curb property, to DaoBi policy to relax gangster. Is this the two armies battle, in a tie, the central issued the household registration system reform to the compromise, it announced that the interest group a good beginning. The household registration system reform, appears to be let into the city farmers "enjoy" citizens treatment, but its essence is the real estate interests in the background of the game, to increase the city vacancy building dish effective accumulated to buy power of a decision, in the central not compromise on the market of under the premise of adjustment and control policies for the local property market in disguised form to provide a panting and the chances of survival, and ultimately, the exploitation and financial risk shifting to the "new peasants". The reason is simple, the household registration system reform on the surface to the household registration system is the "free let go", but is essentially one-way let go of that can flow to the cities, while city residents can't flow to the rural namely can't rural home ownership, buy the rural land or even "small property" room. The stock market is fresh strange. The incoming chairman guo a change of the President before the ruling way, after taking office basic do two things: one is to promote the new funds, actively develop effective stock fund entering the market, such as pension, etc.; 2 it is advocating investment blue chip, advocating long term investing in the stock market. In other words, one is the change is choose a second, in the final analysis, is doing one thing, and that is "to fry." So some comments directly reduce "guo type help city", is not without reason. The starting point of this effort is good, save people in the heart of the fire and water really respectable, but as the leader, first to understand a problem is: the crux of the Chinese stock market where on earth? Is the A share market at present sent money? Or people won't choose A? The answer must be negative, both is not. The key to the problem in the system! If the system is not reform, then won't get rid of policy city and the city of encircling money fundamental lesions; If just moved to fry the share price as reinforcements thought is the "achievement", then history has shown, will fall off more heavy. The prime minister's adult from 1600 to 3500 fry stock market, the result is again how? Last year's stock market told us the answer. A sound of the stock market, the rule of law, in the long run is not fry up by policy, but a legal, fair and impartial "trading places", just a under the rule of the trading platform, not countries the casino dealer. If this is not known, so all efforts is PiFuHanShu, eventually change "traps city" of destiny! The policy the higher stock market speculation, then the more the pit the worst, either 6124 or 3478, all already proved it. And in this big "steady growth" type of mild help city background, the central bank to play a clown. Over the past few years to print money lead to the crazy inflation, prices soaring, people's living a difficult life, social stability and frequent events. Now, in inflation has not been effective control, prices are still not just a high market and preliminary achievements, the central bank mild expanding the monetary incremental again,nfl hats this is without a doubt one of the earlier policy efforts to "go back", as well as of the Chinese economy and society future a irresponsible. Moderate timely "adjustment" monetary policy is a can, are necessary, but a little basic factor don't forget: as long as the economy of China economic structure can not get fundamental change, with high energy consumption and high pollution high exploitation at the expense of the export economy does not have management, real estate, finance for land to the mark of the mode of economic development, not completely change, with rising prices, asset price bubbles and the people's livelihood difficulties at the expense of the inflation without effective, so the future of China is a "dream", a full of the uncertainty of dangerous journey. Simply mixing achievement is a few years can be, but to JiangShanYong solid, the political learned person and, without a top layer of the long-term design is certainly doesn't work. Spoken parts in an opera is to have "country forward strategy", but not the west a revitalization east a development, more is not removed the east wall is western wall. So save the city, although have a effect, but the old at the source of the trouble is still not cure except, and will for the left after the ruling new hidden trouble. Lao tze cloud, "ruling a great cook as little fresh". State policy not rolled about, foaming at the short-term commitment, and be in people for this, "to the way the world order". So, with inflation in the cost of the road of economy was less puffed up, what is our state "tao"?

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Reform of the demographic logic

Arab spring shocked the world. The spring of Arab meshach han han shame. Change, regardless of east and west, all become a potential. The People's Daily newspaper published the reform, is comes from this. A Tunisia by vendors and detonated the youth in the heart of Arab anger. 10 million young people up for their rights, from this, ali to hosni mubarak, Mr Qaddafi, then to assad, a strong dictators are its shock, Jordan's king thus give up power, implement active reform. The potential of the raging storm revolutionary movement can succeed, no doubt, modern triumphant. Network for the modern's contact function, special grade contact the tools of tyre appear, all to young people who have dedicates way gathered to powerful social organization. But, hidden in the great victory of behind a very secret reason, but also in the Arab countries are "young country", the youth population advantage,cheap new era hats laid the foundation of victory in the revolution. In these countries, 15 to 30 years old of the population, dominate the largest proportion of the population. And the 30 years old of the following population, all accounted for more than 70% of the population,. Thus, we see, any revolution, actually has its population logic, this logic is, first, the youth population, have to occupy most of the population, two, appeal to young people, become the mainstream of society demands. And the Arabian in the spring, is in line with the two big logic. In these countries, young people become the mainstream of society, and the mainstream population, are faced with the danger of marginalization. The World Bank (World Bank) in a cloth tragedy aziz a few months ago issued a report warning: "no young people, especially not for their investment needed to create jobs and will make more vulnerable youth, there is the risk of being marginalized," according to the international Labour organization of data, the young people are now known to the highest unemployment rate in the Middle East and north Africa is, the two are the unemployment rate is about 24%. Even those who seek to accept higher education, also sad to find no useful. And in the most violent of existing regime against Libya, youth population proportion is more big, only 15 to 35 years old of the population, that is 79% of the total population. At the same time, the youth of unemployment and more serious, the international monetary fund (IMF) estimate Libya unemployment at record high of 30%. A large number of young people can't obtain employment, plus solution, plus the corruption and the gap between rich and poor, revolution in recent days. Aziz and die by cloth, it is the fuse detonated revolution. Though young people in wealth is poor, male hormone is the most exuberant, and at the same time, talent and energy and in life peak. Cloth of aziz suicide, by a group of young and clever unemployed graduates hold, they spread on Facebook news, but also to al-jazeera (Al Jazeera) provide * * * image and pictures. Young people's bloody, make them with roots in the stand for the fear out of tyranny, in Egypt, and when the * * * in the liberation square face security forces not shrink back, and even began to replace one tyranny with another, not the youth of the flight, but military police. And in Libya, when Mr Qaddafi threatened to put the revolutionaries as ruthless as mice clear, has no fear that he, even on the battlefield, the unprecedented appear "guitar elder brother". China since modern times, can keep revolution, finally g ChengJianGuo undertaking and complete national and democratic primary revolution, also is the good population structure. From the late qing dynasty to the founding eve, China's population about around 500 million, accounting for a quarter of the world's population at that time, and, more important, the population structure to youth primarily. With youth, is the nation's future the most important strategic resources. Thus, even if the old China holes, numerous people with lofty ideals, also full aspire to China. In 1900 years, and one hundred years late, when manchu has death, China is the GuaFenDouPou was, liang qichao is still full of enthusiasm to write the eternal name "the young Chinese said," sun yat-sen dare to planning China's future prosperity of the founding strategy ", MAO zedong dare to predicted that the victory of Chinese revolution, is to be born baby, is the Soviet sunrise. Square ambition the quick dared to imagine the future "lovely Chinese". China really is capital imagine a better future. In the one hundred years of a large domestic revolution and foreign war, China the final victory, the decision-making power lies in youth as China's biggest rivals during world war ii, Japan was killed 5 million, 7% of the population, while China even if military and civilian death 30 million, only 6% of the population, at that time, China's population structure, 30 years old the following population, to more than 70%. Plenty of youth population, so that the Chinese people have enough capital, dare to fight all the forces. Sun yat-sen startup republican, MAO zedong reengineering republican, all the current population sees the advantage. The victory of the closing, have also benefited from China's population structure, so dare to play SiZhang, endless, warriors and promote high morale, even the world the first military power, also have to count, dare not go with China population consumption. Is not empty. In my family, for example the roche, my grandparents four brothers (the grandparents elders cannot take an examination, temporary women slightly), great grandpa at home soil, two grandpa to the red army, revolution that is done the company commander, because the eye is blind last play a wild, solitary, ultimately escape the kuomintang after, my grandfather was the third, also took part in the revolution, after the founding and become a local team leader, four grandpa in wuhan business, a brother four people, two people take part in the revolution, and the remaining two brothers, enough to give parents endowment, and deal with other family turbulence. So the family structure, the revolutionary violence deterrence everywhere, the hope of revolution on sustainability. The so-called "kill XiaMingHan, and future generations," is not just a word of heroic slogan, but real being.The father died following the son, brother QiuDi report, on the sword, the autocratic powers must fear, be completely a paper tiger, the revolutionary forces once mobilization, such as wild grass prairie is, ultimately all the ruin of the dark forces. Reform and opening up a sense can be called the modem Chinese third revolution, the moist and extensive revolution for the success, also because enough youth. At the beginning of the reform, the huge young people, form the great society forward momentum. In May 1980, a signature "PanXiao" letters from readers of the life in the whole society, o road has caused great shock, for young people to find a way out of consensus, and become to promote the reform and open policy the ranges. And in social and family organization, at that time of China's population structure, but also for the rise of China provides resources. After the reform, the progress of science and technology, improve the knowledge and culture of young people is the premise of the youth, and enough from the age of the elite, to become the wet, also is the main today. In addition to the society in political field, most of the organization operation, the production, the creation, are the main people, young mainstream social forces and elite of the younger, decided the strategic height of countries.In the low end of the field, China has become the world's factory and also depends on China's population structure. A large number of labor source, depends on the huge number of youth. In the rural areas, for example, the early and middle reform, a large number of farmers youth become industry youth, specific family division as follows, home brothers and sisters average of about 3 person, a person at home soil and help parents at home, get married, and the rest of the brothers and sisters out do not have trouble back at home, or, or their brothers and sisters out,cheap nfl jerseys but who share expenses, help parents set up possessions. So, China's labor market, just energetic. Form China's early in the family's famous "meet three have a" real practice. By is, the reform and opening up 30 years, millions of young blood and sweat, competition into today's work, China for the national jumped second largest economy, completed a preliminary rise. Things are the changes. China is no longer young country. From the founding to at the beginning of the reform, the average age of China in 27 years old or so, to 1996, the average age of the China break through 30 years old, to 2008 breakthrough 35, to 2022, China's average age, soon to be 40 years old, and to 2050, China's average age will reach 50 years old, as the world average age of the highest countries, aging population will reach more than 400 million, literally become the world first the kingdom of old man. Hundreds of years ago, in the XiongWen liang qichao's "the young Chinese said," will be youth is the subject of human society, and old people for the society of main body made a thorough contrast, an ageing society will in psychological general direction conservative, this lack of energy and courage, the whole country to the kingdom of mugs, lack of hemorrhagic. At the same time, the aging of the population, because of the limited energy, there are also wisdom degradation, the entire nation, wisdom and courage all wu, into no hope the kingdom of death. The country is young, the national promising, the country is the old man, the decay can stay. Thus, too birth planning, equal to the national hemorrhagic self neutered, the spirit of the nation, self atrophy. Of course, such as the stability is the first priority, the strict birth control, actually prevent young form the secrets of the forces of reform sleeve. The future times, China needs to further deepen the reform, thoroughly complete the modernization of China, and this grand occasion of reform, China is the fourth big than change. Large youth population, energetic and courage of the national spirit, also is the great changes in four times the source of power. Japan three times for China's revolution can be for reference, since modern times, Japan in the late nineteenth century of the Meiji restoration, 20 century the constitutional reform, all basic successful, but, since the late twentieth century the third social revolution, but has not yet success, and a important reason, is the youth population too little, in economic, want to drive consumption, encourage creation, in politics, and break the old man political, family politics, are not enough not to youth, therefore, representatives of the forces of the youth JiuShanYouJiFu even though a rise, but Japan's mainstream society is not for young people to control the, hatoyama was quickly reform strangulation society, ChengDaQi difficult. China's fourth big change, can break Japanese destiny?

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House prices will also buy loose loose Shanghai property market or Indian summer to

The global economy sinking ships

In China's lunar dragon, the United Nations security council of the five permanent members, there are four are facing the transition of national leaders, they are China, France, Russia and the United States. In 2008, the start of the global financial crisis has evolved into the global political crisis so that people will hope that the change of political figures, a renewed the hope of the future. Unfortunately, disturbing the global economy structural problems, will still continue to go from bad to worse. The main states of the world government, has been in use "instant gratification, JiaoTongYiJiao" approach to the crisis, and not to find and solve the fundamental causes of the crisis. Focus on regional market and, indeed, some place days feel better, such as America is now. Because the European debt crisis and compound countries began to appear credit problems, funds are into dollars area. International capital inflows, let the American people feel a lot better, there might even keep a mini version of the benign circulation. But, the American economy problems still remain as. In the middle of December 2011,polarized sunglasses the euro zone crisis looks also eased the some, because the European central bank to Banks issued 500 billion euro loan, encourage them to buy a specific country issues of national debt, and these bonds are market personage-steered clear. The veiled "quantitative easing", actually may be smart. Persecuted itself "sick" Banks, to buy a "sick" issued by the state Treasury bonds, it is the remedy is worse than the. Worse, the eurozone leaders has become more and more disoriented. The global economic crisis that we see the most national leadership true colors, they actually will only do show. Before the crisis the economic prosperity of the 20 years, these people into today's world leader, and now it seems they even don't have the ability to accept their country crumbling economic reality. The United States government is actually went bankrupt, the budget deficit to 9% of gross domestic product, the questions and Italy similar, but some experts will tell you said: this is complete nonsense, because the fed wants to help the United States government debts of words, open the managers printing more dollars will do. The current market do believe this, look at the United States national debt so low yields to know. But, irresponsible behavior is not able to print notes to create wealth, just in the currency of the plunder holder. Potential victims are not managed to abandon us dollars, just because there is no better choice. Whether the current President Obama, or a republican rival mitt romney, all don't rush to solve America's debt and deficit problem. The United States is likely to have been ignored the problem until the Treasury bond market crash. The western world is still can't open face reality: they are losing competitiveness, must regard this as the starting point, adjust his way of life. With emerging countries improve productivity, western goods purchased will be more and more expensive, and they will more and more goods sales of cheap. The trend may last for decades. The only solution, is to reduce consumption, increase working time. China has enough job position and productivity, but lack the abilities of consumption. In the past, China has to depend on increase investment to ensure that the growth of spending, but it was in the "face project" on waste more and more money, and every day worsened social corruption. With export decline and bursting of the housing bubble, China's economy is gradually cooling. Some have begun to call for the fiscal stimulus policy, also is increasing credit or financial expenditure, this kind of rhetoric bench.aviator sunglasses But if the government really do this, can bring is just more waste and more serious corruption. The global economy is in the sinking ship. We heard the news, is nothing but a government in two sites emptying water, and general, the ship or continue to sink. When will the leader to take substantive action? Until the water is filled to us the waist? We shoulder? Or we nose? We can only pray that the best result.

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The Chinese people's political consultative conference "clash" property market control property prices became a debate

"Real estate purchase price control, the limit is." The national political consultative conference, FuLi group company chairman tension in the two meetings clearance to accept our newspaper reporter to interview said come straight to the point. "When the enterprise bought a piece of land, national policy limit, the enterprise purchase is not fair; commodity house is also a commodity, limit, with no before and after purchase agreement, the government regulation should method." Tension that limit to buy as limit, to restrain price too high a cap on the room can be, but can't stop buying of goods, "let the market rule change control, the regulation method would better?" If no limit to buy, does the price will rebound? Tension that wouldn't rebound. "The real estate market atrophy badly, and a fell 20% in February last year, more than 2010 fell 30%, house prices have been drop more." Also hold a different view. "The real estate market steady development, the future house prices will fall. In my opinion, the second half to house prices,dc hats is going down." The national political consultative conference, a real estate company chairman and henan WangChaoBin think, central control purpose is to prevent some big cities rising excessively in house prices, not to say will crack down on house prices go down, the central concern of house prices is smooth, not falling, don't also rallied and don't crash. Therefore the future house prices reduced by 20%, and 30% is unlikely. "Limit to buy" effectively the soaring house prices, a lot of people concerned about: the policy exactly how long it will last? WangChaoBin think, limit to make a lot of real estate purchase because of money chain rupture and ran road, ultimately suffer or, as the buyer of the common people. His bold prediction, "is now house prices to see, limit to buy trend has completed its historic mission." "Although restricted to buy into play, but from the whole look, the current real estate market bubble is very big still, house prices have cut of space." Talking about the second half of house price movements, the national political consultative conference, shandong economic institute of institute of real estate economics GuoSongHai said, is to buy to limit lower prices, so that people can afford a house, as the current house prices and household income than to see, prices fall too far from enough. To what extent is a reasonable return of the price of the house? In GuoSongHai opinion, a line of city housing price-income ratio to most times, house prices are down by 30% be normal. He believes that, through regulation, can make the house prices to return to the reasonable interval. But over the long term, house prices will also with per capita disposable income growth, increasing costs of building a house and rise. "Last year restrictions on the purchase of 46 city, the trend of soaring property prices have been checked. Limit should continue to buy." GuoSongHai think, whether from the housing price to income, sales and leasing houses than lower prices, or from housing vacancy rate perspective, are relatively high. House prices will return to a reasonable interval, the central control must be more sustainable and more powerful. "Not only to limit the purchase, be restricted to borrow, and price!" GuoSongHai said on a second city should be restricted to loan limit buy,discount nfl jerseys and three or four city to "price". Buy some three or four lines to limit urban house prices high enterprises, these cities, buy, be restricted to limit credit can not solve the problem, "limit" more strength. Reporter discovery, since the end of 2011 began, many places are frequent the real estate control loose case, the national political consultative conference, the ministry of finance fiscal scientific research institute jia kang expressed, currently has only about the housing easing ChaoFang the influx of money, the property market is likely to appear rebound reprisal, thus, more than two years of regulation will have been wasted, "this is the management does not wish to see.

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S&p warning to drop the eurozone rating agencies at "don't mess around"

S&p to drop the eurozone rating agencies at "don't mess around" German response: will other member states and the eu institutions and together, to take all necessary measures to ensure that the euro zone by reporters can be stable each Yang opportunities if you are a large hedge fund manager, hand waving billions of dollars of assets. So this week, you is the main task of the buys euro, because an inside revealed Friday summit of European Union leaders will spread the good news. The "good news" is a mark can be followed. 5 day morning, German, French held a remarkable bilateral meetings,baseball sunglasses announced the council of Europe to permanent chairman FanLongPei submit the treaty changes the common advice. At this moment, the s&p was killed by firing out, warning may cut the rating in the euro area, including the "engine" Germany. See the news, estimates that you can't help but to lambaste the s&p abuse of power. Next, the s&p "a recruit malicious seems an action", it announced the European financial stability fund (EFSF) of AAA long-term rating on a "negative observation" list, that the future may be a reduction in the EFSF AAA rating. At the same time, the s&p EFSF reiterated the A-1 + short-term rating remains the same. Analysts say that the act of the s&p aimed at the European leaders to pressure, forced European "a trowel" to save the euro zone crisis do so. S&p warned the s&p 5 th says, because the debt crisis deepens, 15 eurozone countries credit rating on relegation watch list. Among them, Germany, Finland, Belgium, Austria, the Netherlands, Luxembourg rating or been revised down grade 1. Italy, France and Spain rating or be cut level 2. This means that, if the euro zone countries are all DiaoJi, so keep AAA rating of the world's countries and regions will have seven. S&p says, at the present time systemic risk from five related factors, including the euro zone continued tightening credit environment, market for sovereignty countries require higher risk premium (including some AAA national), European policy makers discord, government and family high level in the eurozone and liabilities in the 2012 recession risks.nfl jerseys cheap In the s&p warning before, the news was reported in advance, the euro against the dollar hit low nearly 0.4%. By yesterday closing quotation, the euro against the dollar rose 0.6% from most plate back to fall by 0.1%. However, the s&p "a recruit malicious like a recruit", its in yesterday evening, announced the European financial stability fund (EFSF) of AAA long-term rating on a "negative observation" list, that the future may be a reduction in the EFSF AAA rating. At the same time, the s&p EFSF reiterated the A-1 + short-term rating remains the same.

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Goldman sachs then hurled see many comments: China's future better than expected

The latest report is expected to Goldman sachs 2012 Asian regional economic growth rate will marked slowdown, China's economy is forecast to grow by 8.6% in 2013 and will improve, Asia overall, in addition to the Asia outside Japan, China's economic growth will be reached 6.7%, 7.6% and 8.7% respectively. The Goldman sachs chief strategists ZhuYue 5, said in Hong Kong, the mainland stock market over the next three months relatively steady, but the next six months will increase in single digits is forecast to increase year 2012 will have 15% to 20% of the room to rise,nfl hats csi 300 (2517.821, 1.48, 0.06%) index by the end of next year to see high to 3200 points. Some overseas institutions to China's economic growth forecast basic between 7% and 8%. Goldman sachs still insist that, from local government financing platform and the housing market, "hard" risk is still being exaggerated. In addition, Goldman sachs also thought, in 2013 China's net exports are expected to improve, overall GDP growth at around 8.7%, and keep balance basically 2012, inflation will continue to gradually fell to below 2%. The adb report related cut next year Asian economies expected economic growth by 9.1% growth of mainland China moves to a 8.8% according to xinhua the Asian development bank 6, 2012 will be announced in emerging economies of east Asia economic growth rate from 7.5% down to 7.2% expected. Among them, the Chinese mainland growth by 9.1% to 8.8% expected cut, by 4.7% to 4.0% cut in Hong Kong. The report said, east Asian emerging economies in 2012 will remain moderate growth, but if the euro zone and the us economy both face a shrinking, east Asian emerging economies will blow the trade and financial industries. The report estimates that the euro zone economic growth in 2012 to 0.5%, the United States is 2.1%. Participate in writing reports the adb economists ewan in the eurozone and the analysis of aziz said economic trends,mlb jerseys the future development of the most bad results is a another round of global economic crisis, it will make the east Asian emerging economies of growth dropped to 5.4%, or even less. Once the eurozone and the American economy worsened, would allow mainland China economic growth loss by 1.2 to 2%.

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European Union is banned imports of Iranian oil reached a preliminary agreement

Eu diplomats said here on 4,, the European Union is Iran's oil embargo preliminary reached an agreement, but when a formal ban and implement through it has not yet been decided. This information is disclosed, the international market to make a quick reaction, international oil prices, rising gold prices heard. Early December meeting of eu foreign ministers had discussed Iran's oil embargo,polarized sunglasses due to countries such as Greece, Spain opposition, was unable to reach a consensus. Here there is the news to disclose, Greece, Spain and other countries to the position recently changed, says jointly with other eu member states a support the embargo. The eu plans to launch embargo news touches international oil price sensitive nerve, brent crude oil futures immediately rose by more than 1%, up a barrel to more than $113. Pan, oil prices had recently seven weeks in high. By market hedge emotional support, the international gold prices go up, New York mercantile exchange February QiJia gold closed at $1612.7 per ounce, than the previous trading day rose $12.2, or 0.76%. Pan, gold is up nearly $20 once, touch the record within two weeks. Early December meeting of eu foreign ministers have said, the European Union will in finance, energy, transportation and other fields to take further sanctions against Iran measures, and the related decision is expected to end of January in 2012 to come. Iran is the organization of petroleum exporting countries within the second largest oil producer,aviator sunglasses the European Union is Iran's second largest oil export market. Statistics have shown that day to the eu market Iran provide 450000 barrels of crude oil.

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